Policy Simulation &
Stress Testing System

香港特別行政區政策制定前期模擬與壓力測試平台

Empowering evidence-based policy design through multi-stakeholder simulation, discrete choice experiments, and comprehensive stress testing to prevent policy failures and strengthen public trust.

Why Policy Simulation Matters

Recent policy failures demonstrate the critical need for pre-implementation testing

5 days

Bus Seatbelt Law

巴士安全帶法例

Legal drafting error, no practical testing

20 years deliberation

Waste Charging Scheme

垃圾徵費計劃

Infrastructure deficit, public confusion

Phased success

Plastic Bag Levy

膠袋徵費

Exemption loopholes, delayed adjustment

Comprehensive Policy Testing Suite

Six integrated modules for rigorous policy analysis and simulation

Policy Database

政策數據庫

Comprehensive historical cases since 1997 handover with failure pattern analysis and public response data.

Agent Simulation

利益相關方模擬

Multi-stakeholder behavioral modeling with government, public, business, media, and civil society agents.

DCE Module

離散選擇實驗

Discrete Choice Experiment engine for testing policy design attributes and configurations.

Stress Testing

壓力測試

Identify failure points across legal, infrastructure, coordination, and public backlash dimensions.

Policy Wizard

政策設計嚮導

Step-by-step guidance incorporating lessons from historical failures and best practices.

Policy Comparison

政策比較

Side-by-side analysis with Hong Kong history and international best practices.

Grounded in Proven Methodology

Behavioral Frameworks

  • Andersen Behavioral Model for service utilization prediction
  • Expected Utility Theory for rational decision analysis
  • Crowding-out effect analysis between public and private solutions

Research Methods

  • Discrete Choice Experiments (DCE) for preference elicitation
  • Multi-agent simulation with behavioral profiles
  • Historical pattern matching from 27+ years of policy data